Market
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
Iranian Enriched Uranium Transfer to US · 3 events · $711K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 16 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 | No | 64,339 | 76.4¢ | $60.8K | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 47,593 | 86.2¢ | $45K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,713 bets |
| aangelika0x2202…8787 | No | 37,897 | 80.9¢ | $35.8K | New15 settled bets |
| 0x8b71…8044 | No | 32,349 | 79.9¢ | $30.6K | Proven+$4.95 per $100 · 201 bets |
| ANGGGuess0xab01…2558 | No | 22,741 | 90.5¢ | $21.5K | New10 settled bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 17,487 | 80.9¢ | $16.5K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| 0x095d…52cf | No | 16,081 | 74.6¢ | $15.2K | Losing−$2.80 per $100 · 676 bets |
| bullishkirby20x5d2b…cb8c | No | 13,810 | 92.8¢ | $13.1K | New16 settled bets |
| Trump20280x2e0b…8070 | No | 10,685 | 95.0¢ | $10.1K | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 554 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 10,020 | 88.0¢ | $9.47K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| skibabiba0x79d9…baec | No | 9,600 | 77.5¢ | $9.07K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 116 bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | 9,000 | 88.4¢ | $8.51K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 2,128 bets |
| TradeDoggo-Elite0x0029…d342 | No | 8,778 | 88.8¢ | $8.3K | New18 settled bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 8,649 | 75.4¢ | $8.17K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 5,000 | 95.0¢ | $4.72K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 781 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 5,000 | 73.0¢ | $4.72K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 77,772 | 19.3¢ | $4.28K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,391 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | No | 4,283 | 72.5¢ | $4.05K | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| Scoofy-Bubik0x709a…7e39 | No | 3,300 | 89.0¢ | $3.12K | New83 settled bets |
| forinnerpsandr1x112220x5c14…cc49 | No | 2,880 | 87.0¢ | $2.72K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 298 bets |
| ClaudeIntern0x95b3…1df1 | No | 2,700 | 95.0¢ | $2.55K | Losing−$13.46 per $100 · 104 bets |
| aosdijf0x1963…9bfd | Yes | 43,710 | 5.3¢ | $2.4K | Positive+$11.72 per $100 · 577 bets |
| ioudas0x49d3…3ed1 | No | 2,445 | 87.5¢ | $2.31K | New2 settled bets |
| 0xc615…e982 | Yes | 40,471 | 24.1¢ | $2.23K | New22 settled bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 2,300 | 92.7¢ | $2.17K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| FDVnothanks0x27f4…770b | No | 2,200 | 80.0¢ | $2.08K | New65 settled bets |
| Giannis20260xe5b4…1e3e | No | 2,100 | 72.1¢ | $1.98K | Proven+$13.43 per $100 · 350 bets |
| 0x5bec…03e8 | Yes | 30,000 | 15.0¢ | $1.65K | — |
| BTCGambler2470x31c5…ede4 | No | 1,700 | 72.0¢ | $1.61K | Proven+$9.52 per $100 · 523 bets |
| chartreuseverte0xfd07…ce86 | No | 1,496 | 88.0¢ | $1.41K | — |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 23,228 | 16.2¢ | $1.28K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| vovatoxic0xf989…47cc | No | 1,333 | 75.0¢ | $1.26K | Proven+$31.56 per $100 · 158 bets |
| DegenerateJanet0x8964…0bec | No | 1,248 | 93.7¢ | $1.18K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 666 bets |
| randomlypunting0xaec3…22df | No | 1,200 | 79.0¢ | $1.13K | Losing−$5.00 per $100 · 1,379 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,154 | 87.1¢ | $1.09K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| ZenBear0xa883…31fb | No | 1,023 | 83.8¢ | $967 | — |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 1,014 | 95.0¢ | $958 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 1,000 | 94.0¢ | $945 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| Maxtyt0xbd27…2807 | No | 1,000 | 75.0¢ | $945 | Losing−$12.41 per $100 · 164 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 1,000 | 91.9¢ | $945 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| 0xefce…4e4a | No | 987 | 76.0¢ | $933 | — |
| Lord.Krulos0x7ed4…7759 | No | 968 | 81.7¢ | $915 | New68 settled bets |
| Noooooooop0xc315…fe18 | No | 934 | 94.0¢ | $882 | Break-even−$0.05 per $100 · 508 bets |
| basedd0x8c2f…1a88 | No | 910 | 71.0¢ | $860 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 216 bets |
| 383880xc5ea…83f5 | Yes | 13,600 | 11.0¢ | $748 | New73 settled bets |
| 0x3e20x3e23…8579 | No | 763 | 74.4¢ | $721 | — |
| spacegliderr0xbc60…af79 | No | 722 | 81.0¢ | $683 | — |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 700 | 94.0¢ | $662 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| Aragorn-II0xc9ad…79d0 | No | 700 | 87.0¢ | $662 | — |
| BamseOgKylling0xd9e7…4cde | No | 700 | 88.0¢ | $662 | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 195 bets |
| Frieren680x9e45…3662 | No | 655 | 84.8¢ | $619 | — |
| cookie960xfb41…1fff | Yes | 10,634 | 10.2¢ | $585 | — |
| re4der0x91c5…c7bb | No | 600 | 83.0¢ | $567 | Proven+$8.23 per $100 · 447 bets |
| 0xd0f8…6b50 | Yes | 10,239 | 10.4¢ | $563 | Proven+$11.40 per $100 · 266 bets |
| 0x3ac4…0e8b | Yes | 10,125 | 37.0¢ | $557 | New47 settled bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 10,000 | 29.3¢ | $550 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | 10,000 | 28.5¢ | $550 | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| Monopoly_Money0x7ea7…79ac | No | 516 | 59.8¢ | $487 | Losing−$4.86 per $100 · 289 bets |
| SomerandomD0x2db9…33f1 | No | 500 | 95.0¢ | $473 | Proven+$5.06 per $100 · 100 bets |
| AdvancedMoneyDoubler0xef7e…e1b1 | No | 500 | 73.0¢ | $473 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 6,666 | 8.7¢ | $367 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| Rol0x355c…e6d4 | Yes | 6,012 | 24.3¢ | $331 | — |
| smallf0xd109…6fa0 | Yes | 5,957 | 28.5¢ | $328 | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 320 bets |
| yuhyuhyuhy3523520xbd04…fbb0 | Yes | 5,000 | 28.7¢ | $275 | Proven+$13.58 per $100 · 548 bets |
| 0xf724…85cc | Yes | 4,531 | 19.0¢ | $249 | New21 settled bets |
| 100x0xb48e…a144 | Yes | 3,690 | 29.2¢ | $203 | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 165 bets |
| Fullvie0x6286…f59c | Yes | 3,135 | 15.0¢ | $172 | Proven+$5.57 per $100 · 576 bets |
| moonthat0x5fa0…c20f | Yes | 3,000 | 5.7¢ | $165 | — |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 174 | 94.6¢ | $164 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,266 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 2,891 | 4.3¢ | $159 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 2,761 | 8.0¢ | $152 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| WickRick0x1c12…79d9 | Yes | 2,079 | 24.0¢ | $114 | — |
| 0x9fe8…2c91 | Yes | 2,000 | 14.0¢ | $110 | — |
| smartiz19890xf66b…b1d1 | Yes | 2,000 | 24.2¢ | $110 | Losing−$6.92 per $100 · 436 bets |
| AAVVAA0xb2c4…43e8 | Yes | 1,897 | 20.0¢ | $104 | — |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 1,740 | 24.7¢ | $96 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| tradingdecs0x7fc6…7306 | Yes | 1,430 | 34.6¢ | $79 | Losing−$33.29 per $100 · 568 bets |
| 0xa9dc…01c9 | Yes | 1,370 | 22.1¢ | $75 | — |
| 0xef5e…41dc | Yes | 1,300 | 19.0¢ | $72 | — |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | Yes | 1,283 | 6.0¢ | $71 | Losing−$4.93 per $100 · 738 bets |
| shjaha0x64de…dcf0 | Yes | 1,259 | 27.0¢ | $69 | New15 settled bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 1,200 | 6.0¢ | $66 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| BigBoiBettin0x48ee…008c | Yes | 1,155 | 22.5¢ | $63 | Positive+$19.61 per $100 · 263 bets |
| Avitz330x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | 1,104 | 9.0¢ | $61 | Proven+$13.01 per $100 · 1,255 bets |
| BadPill0x2704…db51 | Yes | 1,071 | 28.0¢ | $59 | — |
| 0x3da8…97ee | Yes | 1,011 | 28.0¢ | $56 | — |
| outcomes0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | 1,000 | 20.0¢ | $55 | Proven+$18.81 per $100 · 882 bets |
| MABD0x3524…e34e | Yes | 952 | 21.0¢ | $52 | — |
| ljubavm8880x6436…da96 | Yes | 866 | 29.0¢ | $48 | — |
| HE2220xcdc3…65fa | Yes | 774 | 19.4¢ | $43 | — |
| newnewuser0x1dd1…a156 | Yes | 749 | 23.2¢ | $41 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 737 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 747 | 7.6¢ | $41 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x69d7…bf5f | Yes | 714 | 28.0¢ | $39 | — |
| Aniallator1140x1d0c…39a7 | Yes | 623 | 30.5¢ | $34 | — |
| CLFBR0x3adc…01bb | Yes | 600 | 19.4¢ | $33 | — |
| Bronzegated0x8feb…ccd6 | Yes | 556 | 18.0¢ | $31 | — |
| EasyGoingA0xc390…2a1f | Yes | 519 | 22.3¢ | $29 | Proven+$13.15 per $100 · 320 bets |
| studmuffin69690xa8af…325e | Yes | 500 | 27.0¢ | $27 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 2,247 bets |
| Mitakaasa70x6312…f94e | Yes | 500 | 21.0¢ | $27 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 2,037 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.