Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 230,855 | 96.6¢ | $227K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| pilimili0xd104…acef | No | 116,712 | 97.0¢ | $115K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Trump20280x2e0b…8070 | No | 90,556 | 97.3¢ | $89.2K | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 554 bets |
| SAPolitcsSeer0xa30e…49d5 | No | 20,992 | 97.1¢ | $20.7K | New84 settled bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 19,600 | 97.2¢ | $19.3K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 773 bets |
| 0x0010…eb26 | No | 18,201 | 97.8¢ | $17.9K | New50 settled bets |