Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pilimili0xd104…acef | No | 23,469 | 93.1¢ | $21.9K | Losing−$3.33 per $100 · 265 bets |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No | 10,105 | 90.0¢ | $9.45K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 7,359 | 89.6¢ | $6.88K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,049 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 4,982 | 92.4¢ | $4.66K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,931 bets |
| Marc3450x0911…6594 | No | 4,294 | 93.1¢ | $4.02K | New9 settled bets |
| pollybond0x224d…e0e7 | No | 4,000 | 90.0¢ | $3.74K | New16 settled bets |