Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| stupid220x8afa…adb6 | No | 240,534 | 93.7¢ | $222K | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 918 bets |
| charlatta0xb7b8…db31 | No | 28,000 | 93.6¢ | $25.9K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| TheRealWarMonger0xe472…e7eb | No | 20,010 | 93.1¢ | $18.5K | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 699 bets |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 18,769 | 93.2¢ | $17.4K | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | 169,976 | 6.6¢ | $12.7K | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| kevtp0xdc4b…dbca | No | 10,000 | 93.1¢ | $9.25K | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 346 bets |