Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 7.8¢ | +1.3 pts |
| $10,000 | 10.0¢ | +3.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 40.2¢ | +33.7 pts |
| $500,000 | 51.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 6¢.
About $6.38K can be bought and $13.6K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 6.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 04:00 UTC.