Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 6,051 | 97.4¢ | $5.99K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | No | 3,099 | 84.2¢ | $3.07K | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| nope30500x6114…cff0 | No | 2,164 | 95.0¢ | $2.14K | Losing−$1.97 per $100 · 100 bets |
| Marc3450x0911…6594 | No | 2,024 | 88.9¢ | $2K | New9 settled bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 1,031 | 95.2¢ | $1.02K | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,717 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 983 | 81.7¢ | $973 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489 | No | 714 | 79.9¢ | $706 | Proven+$5.66 per $100 · 278 bets |
| DawnOfYemen0xc34a…6007 | No | 671 | 95.0¢ | $664 | Proven+$3.27 per $100 · 1,824 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 407 | 83.9¢ | $403 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| GeneralBurek0x8ce8…fa08 | No | 323 | 93.0¢ | $319 | — |
| chartreuseverte0xfd07…ce86 | No | 270 | 95.0¢ | $267 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 126 | 96.9¢ | $124 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| eightpenguins0x3c59…1766 | Yes | 11,519 | 13.8¢ | $115 | Proven+$14.44 per $100 · 681 bets |
| createfit0x03b0…6368 | No | 100 | 98.3¢ | $99 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 193 bets |
| baby0090x1a09…0383 | No | 100 | 97.0¢ | $99 | — |
| Txetg0x7854…90a5 | No | 100 | 75.0¢ | $99 | — |
| TheBud0xd4c7…9f6a | No | 100 | 80.0¢ | $99 | — |
| newwork0xd16f…b6dd | No | 83 | 98.1¢ | $82 | — |
| accounttion0xb418…7389 | No | 79 | 97.8¢ | $78 | — |
| tanyatheevil0x3c09…8fd7 | No | 66 | 96.2¢ | $65 | — |
| tywed0xc8e3…6fb0 | No | 61 | 41.0¢ | $60 | — |
| swag.messiah0x77cd…5df0 | No | 56 | 96.0¢ | $55 | — |
| dmitro2340x5d39…4d8f | No | 55 | 96.3¢ | $54 | — |
| beginBEGINyou0x8ec0…08ec | No | 50 | 96.0¢ | $50 | — |
| eletiongate0x0823…a970 | No | 50 | 98.7¢ | $50 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | No | 50 | 95.0¢ | $50 | — |
| create66660xc1d1…f1ba | No | 50 | 97.0¢ | $50 | — |
| palyboy0x2baa…279c | No | 35 | 98.8¢ | $35 | — |
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 3,327 | 18.9¢ | $33 | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| cashmusk0xdf4a…1b1b | No | 31 | 97.0¢ | $31 | — |
| pick77770x2af8…bf13 | No | 30 | 96.6¢ | $30 | — |
| eronmusk0x4b8f…23f2 | No | 30 | 97.0¢ | $30 | New81 settled bets |
| racesdavid0x6990…1f8d | No | 29 | 98.8¢ | $28 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 177 bets |
| portfolio0xcd29…1332 | No | 21 | 97.8¢ | $21 | — |
| Podublin0xb4a3…c352 | No | 21 | 97.0¢ | $20 | — |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 20 | 98.7¢ | $20 | — |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | No | 17 | 84.0¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 931 bets |
| 0x3762…3fb5 | No | 10 | 97.0¢ | $10 | — |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | 1,000 | 17.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 1,254 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 814 | 2.3¢ | $8 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| plyworke0020x6e63…07ae | No | 5 | 90.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 666 bets |
| krootz0x450e…4fdd | No | 5 | 58.7¢ | $5 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 391 | 2.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 300 | 21.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| 0x8dcd…13b8 | No | 3 | 95.9¢ | $3 | — |
| xiaoxinyiyi0x8c07…f3c7 | Yes | 270 | 19.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 653890x9047…7663 | Yes | 207 | 39.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 204 | 6.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| RobertCZ0xa0bb…2a16 | Yes | 200 | 17.0¢ | $2 | — |
| giochi0xcd96…11a3 | No | 2 | 58.0¢ | $2 | — |
| guskoven0x6593…445e | Yes | 151 | 27.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 2 | 73.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 119 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 116 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| fantastic550xd75a…fdec | Yes | 103 | 23.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.94 per $100 · 258 bets |
| thelighthouse13370x1bbd…3bed | No | 1 | 78.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd10a…b9cd | No | 1 | 84.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Fuadkrm70x77d5…eace | Yes | 80 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 77 | 30.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 1 | 62.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| flexer780x9422…f273 | Yes | 48 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 94.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 40 | 44.0¢ | $0 | — |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 30 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | Yes | 28 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$14.71 per $100 · 249 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 20 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| PavelIslimnitsky0xb01e…9221 | Yes | 17 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | Yes | 17 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 11 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| silverstud0x3a43…67dc | Yes | 10 | 34.0¢ | $0 | — |
| StormRazer0xa937…4152 | Yes | 9 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | Yes | 5 | 20.1¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 87.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0xbada…d874 | No | 0 | 59.1¢ | $0 | — |
| easyautomate0xd069…d078 | Yes | 3 | 37.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 2 | 6.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 1 | 21.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,989 bets |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 0 | 18.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| luisotavio03120xcc36…d35d | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Iranian Enriched Uranium Transfer to US · 3 events · $711K in play