Market
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · Mar 1–31 · 2 events · $14.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 133,329 | 82.8¢ | $126K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| ndb10xfea3…d227 | No | 90,069 | 86.4¢ | $85.3K | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 2,390 bets |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | No | 57,194 | 92.9¢ | $54.2K | Proven+$6.45 per $100 · 3,348 bets |
| DFV20x4f31…efa3 | No | 52,000 | 91.5¢ | $49.3K | Positive+$1.68 per $100 · 232 bets |
| oegdatam0x5371…76eb | No | 50,950 | 91.8¢ | $48.3K | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 245 bets |
| HAOI0x6666…db92 | No | 32,508 | 95.0¢ | $30.8K | New24 settled bets |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | No | 17,266 | 90.4¢ | $16.4K | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 269 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 17,000 | 86.6¢ | $16.1K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| datamint0xddf0…119b | No | 14,672 | 92.4¢ | $13.9K | New96 settled bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 12,407 | 89.2¢ | $11.8K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 30,084+ bets · updating |
| bitterfish0x1cd2…7f85 | No | 12,302 | 89.7¢ | $11.7K | Proven+$9.32 per $100 · 595 bets |
| singaporesling0xfa8f…d61b | No | 11,396 | 81.6¢ | $10.8K | Losing−$19.40 per $100 · 617 bets |
| dtdctr0xe0d3…13d7 | Yes | 201,589 | 13.2¢ | $10.6K | New26 settled bets |
| baojuhua0x7bc7…3976 | No | 10,785 | 81.5¢ | $10.2K | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 108 bets |
| kreere0x5d13…cb62 | No | 9,277 | 64.7¢ | $8.79K | New10 settled bets |
| 89whytea890x27b3…01bb | No | 9,149 | 94.1¢ | $8.67K | New52 settled bets |
| wttg0xdf25…3b7f | No | 9,039 | 61.8¢ | $8.56K | New64 settled bets |
| choohkz230x10fb…c66c | No | 6,212 | 76.1¢ | $5.89K | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 1,027 bets |
| Nik-0x9e80…f694 | No | 5,790 | 95.1¢ | $5.49K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 2,529 bets |
| phdcapital0x3b7e…23eb | No | 5,000 | 63.0¢ | $4.74K | Proven+$6.12 per $100 · 310 bets |
| EricaXBT0x7383…bd0b | No | 5,000 | 94.5¢ | $4.74K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 219 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 5,000 | 62.0¢ | $4.74K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| apenator0xe25e…9861 | Yes | 85,436 | 12.6¢ | $4.49K | New43 settled bets |
| stocastico0xbafe…2ba1 | No | 4,405 | 93.5¢ | $4.17K | New7 settled bets |
| 6161friends0x6b3e…12a6 | No | 4,021 | 93.1¢ | $3.81K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 144 bets |
| commentatordp0x20bd…4845 | No | 3,996 | 90.6¢ | $3.79K | Proven+$3.77 per $100 · 147 bets |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | No | 3,514 | 86.3¢ | $3.33K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| ssxji0xc34b…cbe2 | No | 3,458 | 94.7¢ | $3.28K | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 131 bets |
| 0x425d…05bd | No | 3,306 | 57.5¢ | $3.13K | New17 settled bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 3,100 | 82.1¢ | $2.94K | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| 0x46a1…2736 | No | 3,000 | 65.0¢ | $2.84K | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 710 bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 2,945 | 93.6¢ | $2.79K | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,534 | 92.1¢ | $2.4K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,913 bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 2,523 | 78.9¢ | $2.39K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 41,500 | 5.6¢ | $2.18K | Losing−$17.29 per $100 · 7,283 bets |
| 6668880xb0eb…8e93 | No | 2,057 | 82.7¢ | $1.95K | Losing−$3.15 per $100 · 119 bets |
| Eargherah0x30aa…2bdd | Yes | 28,428 | 28.7¢ | $1.49K | Losing−$15.77 per $100 · 150 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 1,523 | 94.1¢ | $1.44K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| I-want-Hermes0x58f5…be7b | Yes | 27,191 | 28.7¢ | $1.43K | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 168 bets |
| NewJake0x0ea1…584c | No | 1,280 | 95.4¢ | $1.21K | New37 settled bets |
| 0x5375…aeea | Yes | 23,076 | 7.8¢ | $1.21K | Losing−$5.54 per $100 · 8,517 bets |
| 0xf53a…15ff | No | 1,173 | 84.9¢ | $1.11K | New0 settled bets |
| JanAMEX0x6765…fa0d | No | 1,000 | 84.0¢ | $948 | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 456 bets |
| Srea0x7458…fecf | No | 1,000 | 89.7¢ | $948 | Losing−$3.22 per $100 · 517 bets |
| apostada0x4af8…5f2f | No | 954 | 94.7¢ | $904 | New41 settled bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 868 | 87.1¢ | $822 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| doramifa0x21a8…1aec | No | 846 | 82.2¢ | $802 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 455 bets |
| Kidpoker0070xf397…e1da | No | 826 | 75.0¢ | $782 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 1,842 bets |
| 0x0b4d…7f1d | Yes | 14,710 | 10.1¢ | $772 | Losing−$12.93 per $100 · 174 bets |
| balage40xcffd…17e5 | No | 802 | 95.0¢ | $760 | Losing−$13.67 per $100 · 115 bets |
| 0x729a…c966 | No | 800 | 80.2¢ | $758 | Losing−$3.03 per $100 · 513 bets |
| gegeibb0xe1be…9ee6 | No | 789 | 94.7¢ | $748 | New69 settled bets |
| woahnow0x3d28…cd21 | No | 777 | 92.2¢ | $736 | Proven+$2.57 per $100 · 100 bets |
| m440x65fe…911e | No | 765 | 91.3¢ | $725 | Positive+$1.27 per $100 · 680 bets |
| GoodDealBro0x245e…183c | Yes | 13,567 | 16.1¢ | $712 | New77 settled bets |
| LaoWang0xd239…8531 | No | 721 | 84.0¢ | $683 | New81 settled bets |
| JungPung0x6339…ad29 | Yes | 12,040 | 7.2¢ | $632 | Positive+$57.09 per $100 · 274 bets |
| imthegingerbreadman0xf207…74d5 | Yes | 11,652 | 37.1¢ | $612 | New6 settled bets |
| justanother10x363c…9b0e | Yes | 11,269 | 5.7¢ | $592 | Losing−$15.07 per $100 · 429 bets |
| 0xa85c…a55e | Yes | 10,146 | 10.5¢ | $533 | New22 settled bets |
| pako0x71ed…d338 | Yes | 10,040 | 18.8¢ | $527 | Proven+$3.00 per $100 · 454 bets |
| JBODnumber10x0ff3…b0fe | Yes | 10,000 | 41.0¢ | $525 | Positive+$3.26 per $100 · 155 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | 9,920 | 13.0¢ | $521 | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| gtsby0x268a…d393 | Yes | 8,766 | 19.5¢ | $460 | New11 settled bets |
| Stas770x110e…03c5 | Yes | 7,934 | 10.7¢ | $417 | Losing−$16.58 per $100 · 294 bets |
| voyader0xb6fe…5d9e | Yes | 7,933 | 11.1¢ | $416 | New54 settled bets |
| SerSer0x5233…011c | Yes | 7,142 | 42.1¢ | $375 | New3 settled bets |
| Heisenberg150xf5ca…de9c | Yes | 6,215 | 32.2¢ | $326 | New5 settled bets |
| MrNFT0xb8e6…9767 | Yes | 5,930 | 15.8¢ | $311 | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 2,095 bets |
| 0x34c0…26f7 | No | 268 | 50.0¢ | $254 | New28 settled bets |
| myatwastaken0xb459…fdee | Yes | 4,563 | 23.8¢ | $240 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xab0c…2ca3 | Yes | 4,506 | 22.2¢ | $237 | New19 settled bets |
| 0xb649…b0c2 | Yes | 3,792 | 16.4¢ | $199 | New25 settled bets |
| alpenict0xdcc5…c002 | Yes | 3,333 | 6.4¢ | $175 | New62 settled bets |
| solwizzo-onX0xff16…7511 | Yes | 3,000 | 19.0¢ | $158 | Proven+$5.33 per $100 · 817 bets |
| 0xb331…e001 | Yes | 2,821 | 25.6¢ | $148 | New68 settled bets |
| 0x3e1e…bb8c | Yes | 2,375 | 14.4¢ | $125 | New63 settled bets |
| Hstb0x0fbf…723c | Yes | 2,280 | 43.8¢ | $120 | New47 settled bets |
| wolfie3330x033e…85c7 | Yes | 2,253 | 22.2¢ | $118 | New5 settled bets |
| johnlarx0xe653…4594 | Yes | 2,200 | 27.8¢ | $115 | Losing−$12.74 per $100 · 152 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 119 | 82.8¢ | $113 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| ReinforcementLearning0xeb58…6fa5 | Yes | 2,103 | 4.2¢ | $110 | Positive+$1.22 per $100 · 369 bets |
| poroh70x0fca…f72e | Yes | 2,016 | 10.2¢ | $106 | New35 settled bets |
| 0x815d…8648 | Yes | 1,900 | 5.0¢ | $100 | Losing−$12.43 per $100 · 130 bets |
| 1337hax0x2683…b5bf | Yes | 1,700 | 31.9¢ | $89 | Losing−$3.08 per $100 · 299 bets |
| frd3120x9226…99e0 | Yes | 1,592 | 24.0¢ | $84 | New7 settled bets |
| Dolba0xc7b8…2c1f | Yes | 1,428 | 36.5¢ | $75 | Proven+$8.10 per $100 · 2,437 bets |
| 0x325f…fd42 | Yes | 1,400 | 9.7¢ | $74 | New93 settled bets |
| 0xb664…b752 | Yes | 1,250 | 8.5¢ | $66 | Losing−$29.48 per $100 · 260 bets |
| 0x0c61…d7a4 | Yes | 1,111 | 9.6¢ | $58 | New14 settled bets |
| moi-newbie0xe0ec…0396 | Yes | 1,025 | 43.9¢ | $54 | New1 settled bet |
| Vonne0x9a38…360b | Yes | 1,016 | 7.5¢ | $53 | Losing−$22.19 per $100 · 631 bets |
| FantaBoy770x2d72…2f0b | Yes | 1,001 | 28.0¢ | $53 | New15 settled bets |
| 0xf364…355f | Yes | 932 | 10.7¢ | $49 | New0 settled bets |
| basilkosh0xb82b…fc60 | Yes | 879 | 6.5¢ | $46 | Losing−$3.06 per $100 · 321 bets |
| badkarma260x9783…ea40 | Yes | 872 | 6.1¢ | $46 | New88 settled bets |
| GARITABTC0x40b9…4b04 | Yes | 857 | 7.4¢ | $45 | Losing−$8.12 per $100 · 408 bets |
| Vlad210xd3d6…ebef | Yes | 825 | 28.2¢ | $43 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 183 bets |
| 0x1718…8cee | Yes | 806 | 18.0¢ | $42 | Losing−$2.26 per $100 · 380 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.