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Topic · Crypto
3 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 3
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
2 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 81 days
Proven traders lean S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 · 2 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 3 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| tnl0xb619…5068 | S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 | $21.1K | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,243 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:00 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| ghuonliyelkihxeklkgeu0x294d…b362 |
| No on S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 |
| $9.8K |
| – |
| Zptml0xecb9…5a12 | S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 | $7.6K | New73 bets |
| GenaCyberpunk0x816f…ace1 | S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 | $2.9K | New1 settled bet |
| Yurion00x47e7…ecbf | No on Bitcoin | $2.6K | New34 bets |
| imakebigbets0x09e3…48ac | S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 | $2.6K | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 440 bets |
| Smart-bettor70x7845…417b | No on Gold | $2.4K | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 525 bets |
| XieGuangKun0x25dc…e33b | S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 | $2.2K | Proven+$9.37 per $100 · 1,200 bets |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 | $2.1K | Proven+$20.70 per $100 · 539 bets |
| lihpare0x4fe2…87c5 | No on Bitcoin | $1.9K | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
| PACIFIST0xc752…62e1 | S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 | $1.6K | New68 bets |
| Chims0xeec5…b6fe | S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 | $1.6K | – |
| namarian9990x0749…6de9 | No on S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 | $1.4K | New32 bets |
| woshiLimpeh0x2e4d…f703 | Bitcoin | $1.4K | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 445 bets |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | No on Bitcoin | $1.4K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| BIGDar0x16e9…db58 | Bitcoin | $1.3K | – |
| 0x3764…c5eb | No on Bitcoin | $1.2K | Proven+$7.49 per $100 · 1,189 bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 | $1.2K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| NOPH0x2412…f534 | S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 | $964 | New49 bets |
| FatBoyRay19800x453c…37e4 | No on Bitcoin | $960 | – |
| varch010x0362…449e | No on Gold | $915 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,124 bets |
| emrico0x6131…fd16 | Gold | $833 | New57 bets |
| outsidertrading0x8f04…d82e | No on Bitcoin | $800 | – |
| 0xd5e3…e379 | No on Bitcoin | $800 | – |
| dhadad010xd8fa…5580 | S&P 500 · Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026 | $796 | Positive+$6.51 per $100 · 183 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.