Bitcoin price · Jan 1 · Polyray

Topic · Crypto

Bitcoin price · Jan 1

3 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.

Alert me when this moves

Money in play

0.0% of Polymarket

Events · markets

1 · 3

that win or lose together

Proven traders lean

1 of the 10 biggest bettors

Biggest event ends

Jan 1

in 82 days

Do the markets agree?

Only one outcome of each event can win, so their chances should add up to 100¢.

Outcome	Added up	Should be
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026	94.5¢	100.0¢

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026: its outcomes add up to 94.5¢, 5.5 points below 100¢.

Bitcoin priceCrypto Ethereum priceCrypto New token launches (FDV)Crypto

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:41 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.

Chance over time: BitcoinBitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026. The biggest market on this topic, daily.

Chance over time: Bitcoin
Date	Value
Dec 23	49.0¢
Dec 28	41.0¢
Jan 2	40.5¢
Jan 7	42.0¢
Jan 12	41.5¢
Jan 17	41.5¢
Jan 22	38.5¢
Jan 27	37.5¢
Feb 1	35.0¢
Feb 6	30.5¢
Feb 11	26.5¢
Feb 16	26.5¢
Feb 21	24.5¢
Feb 26	23.5¢
Mar 3	19.0¢
Mar 8	18.5¢
Mar 14	27.0¢
Mar 22	31.0¢
Mar 27	26.5¢
Apr 22	27.5¢
Apr 27	29.5¢
May 2	33.0¢
May 7	34.5¢
May 12	34.5¢
May 17	26.5¢
May 22	32.0¢
May 27	27.0¢
Jun 1	26.0¢
Jun 6	17.0¢
Jun 11	20.5¢
Jun 16	12.5¢
Jun 21	15.5¢
Jun 26	17.0¢
Jul 1	13.5¢
Jul 6	12.5¢
Jul 11	12.5¢
Jul 16	15.5¢
Jul 21