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Topic · Tech
389 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
1.5% of Polymarket
Events · markets
88 · 389
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 5
in 86 days
Proven traders lean No on ↑$4.0T · Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31 · 1 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No on ↑$4.0T · Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31 | $368.6K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:05 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| luck000040xc6e9…0741 | No on ↑$4.0T · Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31 | $259.3K | New78 bets |
| jk18880x5e55…8ffd | No on December 31, 2027 | $170.1K | Break-even−$0.73 per $100 · 274 bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | No on December 31, 2027 | $165.9K | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| oieshfn3450x6550…8451 | ↑$1.75T · Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31 | $95.0K | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 2,784 bets |
| feeder-of-markets0x9c9f…e2d2 | No on December 31, 2027 | $90.5K | New39 bets |
| dromedaryy0x6575…b198 | December 31, 2027 | $75.1K | New85 bets |
| uma0030x53c4…740b | No on ↑$1.75T · Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31 | $70.6K | New77 bets |
| UnreasonableAwareness0x9afd…574b | ↑$3.0T · Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31 | $66.8K | – |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No on October 31, 2026 | $57.9K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,378 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No on December 31, 2027 | $55.2K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 720 bets |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No on December 31, 2027 | $52.4K | Proven+$3.25 per $100 · 2,064 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No on December 31, 2027 | $49.0K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 10,235 bets |
| plumbis0x77fb…266c | No on December 31, 2027 | $45.3K | Proven+$3.38 per $100 · 136 bets |
| LeopoldAschenbooger0x929a…8cf0 | ↑$3.0T · Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31 | $36.4K | – |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No on December 31, 2027 | $36.2K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | December 31, 2026 | $31.8K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 770 bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | No on ↑$3.0T · Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31 | $26.6K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| 0x91c3…409f | December 31, 2026 | $24.7K | New0 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No on December 31, 2027 | $18.3K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| Lolakis0x401e…6fc9 | No on December 31, 2027 | $18.1K | Positive+$1.42 per $100 · 2,251 bets |
| MisTKy0x35bb…009b | No on December 31, 2027 | $18.1K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 1,153 bets |
| Vespuccii0x712f…9fe6 | No on December 31, 2027 | $18.1K | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 238 bets |
| Paul9739730xa108…abd3 | No on October 31, 2026 | $17.6K | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | December 31, 2026 | $17.1K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.