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Topic · Politics
6 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.3% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 6
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
6 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Nov 1
in 19 days
Proven traders lean No on December 31, 2026 · 6 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 6 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| aff30xe52c…6924 | No on December 31, 2026 | $260.7K | Proven+$2.95 per $100 · 276 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:08 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| GoriIIa0xfffa…864b |
| No on December 31, 2026 |
| $253.2K |
| Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 414 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No on December 31, 2026 | $55.6K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 790 bets |
| gorovi0x1de9…831d | No on December 31, 2026 | $27.6K | Positive+$1.79 per $100 · 398 bets |
| 0xcf19…6402 | No on December 31, 2026 | $17.8K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 457 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No on December 31, 2026 | $15.2K | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| AlfredTheShiller0xcd6b…68f5 | No on December 31, 2026 | $12.8K | Proven+$5.96 per $100 · 1,413 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No on December 31, 2026 | $11.5K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| Alphax0xc781…59d7 | No on December 31, 2026 | $11.4K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,638 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No on December 31, 2026 | $7.6K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| Outsmarter0x1b60…a55b | No on December 31, 2026 | $7.4K | Proven+$28.81 per $100 · 152 bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No on October 31, 2026 | $7.2K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| ttttr3240x76f9…9d10 | No on December 31, 2026 | $6.8K | New23 bets |
| knrad0x4d01…1645 | No on December 31, 2026 | $6.8K | Positive+$2.87 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No on November 30, 2026 | $5.9K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,937 bets |
| ajaaja0x93d4…7345 | No on December 31, 2026 | $5.7K | Break-even−$0.95 per $100 · 238 bets |
| FastPaws0x0548…d852 | No on December 31, 2026 | $4.7K | New39 bets |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No on December 31, 2026 | $4.7K | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,244 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | December 31, 2026 | $4.2K | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No on December 31, 2026 | $4.1K | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,990 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No on December 31, 2026 | $3.7K | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,318 bets |
| bryp123450x044a…f35e | No on October 31, 2026 | $3.5K | New76 bets |
| Bukaj08890x5be7…1b1d | No on October 31, 2026 | $3.4K | Positive+$1.97 per $100 · 244 bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | December 31, 2026 | $3.2K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 730 bets |
| MerziPuperzi0x835e…41e5 | December 31, 2026 | $3.0K | New0 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.