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Topic · Politics
1 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
2.8% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 1
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Proven traders lean Flávio Bolsonaro · 3 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 2 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | Flávio Bolsonaro | $817.9K | Proven+$11.67 per $100 · 470 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 18:04 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| SuperavitFiscal0xeb49…693e |
| Flávio Bolsonaro |
| $509.6K |
| Losing−$5.42 per $100 · 344 bets |
| 657657570x2974…9c23 | Flávio Bolsonaro | $415.8K | Proven+$6.14 per $100 · 374 bets |
| Jjjh776600x212f…7fd2 | Flávio Bolsonaro | $332.8K | New47 bets |
| LulaVaiPerder0x7f9e…3a0e | Flávio Bolsonaro | $255.5K | Proven+$9.82 per $100 · 434 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Flávio Bolsonaro | $215.0K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,397 bets |
| yuahldj0x27b0…209b | Flávio Bolsonaro | $202.3K | New10 bets |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | Flávio Bolsonaro | $168.1K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| themain0x2f9d…deb3 | Flávio Bolsonaro | $147.5K | New40 bets |
| Ed23570xb1ce…ced2 | Flávio Bolsonaro | $139.3K | New3 bets |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | Flávio Bolsonaro | $138.1K | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 1,758 bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Flávio Bolsonaro | $134.4K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 728 bets |
| roublewang0x88f3…e7fb | Flávio Bolsonaro | $111.8K | New4 bets |
| ProfessionalPunter0x22e4…ef1c | Flávio Bolsonaro | $106.3K | Proven+$4.52 per $100 · 1,293 bets |
| Abkhauae0x7c75…4d1d | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | $104.7K | New0 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | Flávio Bolsonaro | $104.6K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| eventalpha260x2e7b…bd8c | No on Flávio Bolsonaro | $83.5K | New0 bets |
| Nicklashark130xcb25…5ab5 | Flávio Bolsonaro | $72.5K | New17 bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | $71.9K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| gopfan20xf2f6…5817 | Flávio Bolsonaro | $69.6K | Proven+$5.39 per $100 · 2,338 bets |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Flávio Bolsonaro | $69.1K | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| Lula.desistiu0x9b97…6a09 | Flávio Bolsonaro | $67.5K | New61 bets |
| 0xa2dc…49f9 | Flávio Bolsonaro | $66.9K | New53 bets |
| ivantoney0x2616…c6aa | No on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | $61.8K | New13 bets |
| Jimmy-Carvalho-Opcoes0x82e0…0779 | No on Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | $52.5K | New5 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.