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Topic · Macro
1 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
1 · 1
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
2 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Oct 27
in 16 days
Proven traders lean No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) · 2 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 1 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $1.3K | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:08 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| beata-monalisa0x5fc7…a9dd |
| No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) |
| $879 |
| – |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $502 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $89 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| Mandalorec0x039b…9b6c | Hike 25 bps (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $85 | – |
| eightpenguins0x3c59…1766 | Hike 25 bps (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $78 | Proven+$14.44 per $100 · 681 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Hike 25 bps (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $75 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $72 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $68 | – |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $60 | – |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $46 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Hike 25 bps (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $33 | – |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $26 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| andrewpreston0x6e3c…8222 | No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $22 | – |
| harrisonamanda0x1577…0554 | No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $20 | – |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $19 | – |
| Konfucious0xac76…9359 | Hike 25 bps (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $19 | – |
| 0x0456…c88a | No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $18 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| 0x5f8b…11c5 | No change (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $16 | – |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Hike 25 bps (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $14 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Hike 25 bps (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $13 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Hike 25 bps (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $13 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 0xd45b…7ae6 | Hike 25 bps (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $13 | – |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Hike 25 bps (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $13 | – |
| LeChatonFat0x9629…ee15 | Hike 25 bps (No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27) | $12 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.