Market · 4 of 20 outcomes
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3b30…100f | No | 32 | 63.0¢ | $16 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 27 | 42.4¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| Horseing20x9474…8f6c | No | 5 | 29.5¢ | $3 | — |
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | Yes | 5 | 34.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| peachgoma0x2e3d…6aa1 | Yes | 5 | 50.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Birding30xddb1…d9e0 | No | 1 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Crabbing10x6780…a142 | Yes | 1 | 71.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.