Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will Tsao Erh-yuan win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FrozenUSDC0xb5e8…a5f9 | Yes | 385 | 19.7¢ | $58 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 148 | 13.1¢ | $22 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| Geromi0x8e8d…5a27 | Yes | 39 | 6.7¢ | $6 | — |
| spaceloaf0xa99c…08b4 | Yes | 38 | 10.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 14 | 2.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 1 | 20.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 3 outcomes add up to 92.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.