Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will Tsao Erh-chang win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 225 | 4.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| frzone0x069a…f722 | Yes | 65 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Bodytobody0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | 39 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 21 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 3 outcomes add up to 90.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.