Tsao Erh-yuan

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 97.2¢ right now.

Decided by

The market resolves according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.§2

Result unknown

If the result isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§4

Ambiguity

If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based solely on official results reported by Taiwan's Central Election Commission.§6

Placeholder magistrates

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election are not considered.§3

Counted

The candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.§2

Source

Results as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting; for ambiguity, official results from Taiwan's Central Election Commission.§5

Closes

Nov 29, 2026 · 04:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.