Market
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 5.0¢ | +2.4 pts |
| $10,000 | 19.7¢ | +17.1 pts |
| $100,000 | 65.9¢ | +63.3 pts |
| $500,000 | 89.7¢ | +87.1 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 2¢.
About $607 can be bought and $280 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 2.6¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 18:11 UTC.