Market
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 5.0¢ | +2.4 pts |
| $10,000 | 19.8¢ | +17.1 pts |
| $100,000 | 66.0¢ | +63.4 pts |
| $500,000 | 89.8¢ | +87.1 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 2¢.
About $595 can be bought and $239 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 2.7¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 10:49 UTC.