Market · 7 of 8 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 664 | 81.7¢ | $624 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 568 | 85.7¢ | $534 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 559 | 91.3¢ | $526 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,040 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 69 | 92.4¢ | $65 | — |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 67 | 90.2¢ | $63 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| tacor0x033b…5fd4 | No | 56 | 82.6¢ | $53 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 80 shares each side · Show
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