Market · 1 of 8 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | No | 538 | 22.9¢ | $296 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 284 | 53.6¢ | $128 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | No | 180 | 40.0¢ | $99 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 126 | 77.0¢ | $57 | — |
| doudouc0x74aa…2c3f | Yes | 100 | 78.0¢ | $45 | — |
| FFFFFFFF90xf333…ba41 | Yes | 97 | 78.0¢ | $44 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.