Market · 2 of 8 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | No | 538 | 22.9¢ | $312 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 284 | 53.6¢ | $119 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | No | 180 | 40.0¢ | $104 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 126 | 77.0¢ | $53 | — |
| doudouc0x74aa…2c3f | Yes | 100 | 78.0¢ | $42 | — |
| FFFFFFFF90xf333…ba41 | Yes | 97 | 78.0¢ | $41 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 72 | 79.0¢ | $30 | Positive+$3.68 per $100 · 14,155 bets |
| 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | 40 | 46.0¢ | $23 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 55 | 71.0¢ | $23 | — |
| nanioto0x53b3…7f9a | No | 27 | 40.0¢ | $16 | — |
| driphop0x2773…045c | Yes | 30 | 77.0¢ | $13 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 40.0¢ | $12 | — |
| boywonder20x26e8…4c6f | Yes | 20 | 65.0¢ | $8 | — |
| T222222222220xea7f…b855 | Yes | 20 | 79.0¢ | $8 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 1 | 51.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.