Market · 7 of 8 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 664 | 81.7¢ | $624 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| commeowder0xd06f…d4a6 | No | 568 | 85.7¢ | $534 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 559 | 91.3¢ | $526 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 69 | 92.4¢ | $65 | — |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 67 | 90.2¢ | $63 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| tacor0x033b…5fd4 | No | 56 | 82.6¢ | $53 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 779 | 12.2¢ | $47 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 48 | 89.0¢ | $45 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 305 | 6.2¢ | $18 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| 0x7da9…5741 | Yes | 274 | 8.9¢ | $16 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 236 | 8.4¢ | $14 | — |
| GotGreenWood0x88d9…35c7 | Yes | 220 | 19.0¢ | $13 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 77 | 10.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No | 4 | 90.4¢ | $3 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 42 | 19.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 41 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| ju5z0v5rpcf80xce50…88ae | No | 2 | 98.1¢ | $2 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | 23 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 20 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 20 | 12.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | No | 1 | 92.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 1 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc5da…5f86 | No | 0 | 94.3¢ | $0 | — |
| brra0x9435…91fd | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 80 shares each side · Show
|