Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Su Ching-chuan win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 264 | 86.0¢ | $228 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| FrozenUSDC0xb5e8…a5f9 | Yes | 500 | 14.1¢ | $68 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 |
| Yes |
| 495 |
| 19.7¢ |
| $67 |
| Proven+$14.81 per $100 · 3,730 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 88.0¢ | $26 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 27 | 87.0¢ | $23 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 25 | 88.0¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
These 2 outcomes add up to 78.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.