Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 469 | 86.0¢ | $387 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 208 | 79.7¢ | $172 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x9576…3d6b | Yes | 158 | 89.4¢ | $130 | — |
| 0x470e…a01f | Yes | 100 | 90.4¢ | $83 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 100 | 45.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 6 | 83.0¢ | $5 | — |
These 2 outcomes add up to 94.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.