Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 469 | 86.0¢ | $307 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 208 | 79.7¢ | $136 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| 0x9576…3d6b | Yes | 158 | 89.4¢ | $103 | — |
| 0x470e…a01f | Yes | 100 | 90.4¢ | $66 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 100 | 45.0¢ | $35 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 25 | 10.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,278 bets |
| sch20260x8fac…9be3 | No | 22 | 21.8¢ | $8 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 22 | 44.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 18 | 11.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 6 | 83.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 10 | 14.5¢ | $3 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 5 | 90.4¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| 0x1e75…63f1 | No | 6 | 13.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.06 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | No | 6 | 21.7¢ | $2 | Proven+$14.81 per $100 · 3,730 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.