Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Su Ching-chuan win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 284 | 86.0¢ | $246 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| FrozenUSDC0xb5e8…a5f9 | Yes | 500 | 14.1¢ | $68 | — |
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | Yes | 495 | 19.7¢ | $67 | Proven+$14.81 per $100 · 3,730 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 88.0¢ | $26 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 27 | 87.0¢ | $23 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 25 | 88.0¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| 0xc24f…220b | No | 7 | 83.0¢ | $6 | — |
| lekkerweer0xa200…27b0 | No | 5 | 87.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 17.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 23 | 41.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 20 | 41.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| GirlOnFire0x7230…f3d0 | Yes | 20 | 14.5¢ | $3 | — |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | Yes | 10 | 14.5¢ | $1 | — |
| sch20260x8fac…9be3 | Yes | 10 | 25.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 8 | 13.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | No | 1 | 88.4¢ | $1 | — |
| J255250x7e80…631b | Yes | 0 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.