Market
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gladius70xc932…e6a5 | No | 16,589 | 66.9¢ | $14.3K | Proven+$6.20 per $100 · 264 bets |
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 11,132 | 67.7¢ | $9.63K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | No | 6,541 | 66.6¢ | $5.66K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| GaioMario0x94d0…9e65 | No | 6,398 | 75.3¢ | $5.53K | — |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 5,008 | 68.5¢ | $4.33K | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| DoubleAgentKrasnov0x6d8c…b79a | No | 3,521 | 73.8¢ | $3.05K | Proven+$14.14 per $100 · 210 bets |