Market · 4 of 21 outcomes
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 98.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 2,018 | 99.1¢ | $2K | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 562 | 97.5¢ | $558 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 448 | 99.5¢ | $445 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 401 | 99.3¢ | $399 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,987 bets |
| SafeVaultBlue0x977f…0981 | No | 140 | 93.7¢ | $139 | — |
| fghgfd0x4f65…07d3 | No | 95 | 99.0¢ | $94 | — |