Market · 7 of 21 outcomes
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTUII0xd303…2154 | No | 28 | 99.9¢ | $28 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 18,312 | 3.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,787 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 16,715 | 3.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$8.08 per $100 · 29,939+ bets · updating |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 15,766 | 0.1¢ | $8 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 14,023 | 3.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,946 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 12,982 | 3.1¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,971 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 101.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.