Market · 4 of 21 outcomes
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 2,018 | 99.1¢ | $2K | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 495 | 97.5¢ | $492 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 448 | 99.5¢ | $445 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 401 | 99.3¢ | $399 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| Diood0x9e1d…414b | No | 232 | 99.2¢ | $230 | — |
| SafeVaultBlue0x977f…0981 | No | 140 | 93.7¢ | $139 | — |
| ac0090x8b01…24a9 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $99 | — |
| fghgfd0x4f65…07d3 | No | 95 | 99.0¢ | $94 | — |
| ercxfergr0xd4ce…677d | No | 95 | 99.0¢ | $94 | — |
| randombyte0xb0a7…b4fd | Yes | 10,000 | 2.4¢ | $65 | — |
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 | Yes | 9,205 | 1.6¢ | $60 | Proven+$11.15 per $100 · 504 bets |
| KOKOOMARO0xb8c1…6513 | No | 57 | 98.7¢ | $57 | — |
| bmtr0x7d1b…e75c | Yes | 7,962 | 2.0¢ | $52 | — |
| zawdsse0x232a…c256 | No | 51 | 99.3¢ | $51 | — |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 7,637 | 0.7¢ | $50 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 6,650 | 0.8¢ | $43 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | No | 40 | 88.4¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| v2pm0x819f…ea75 | No | 40 | 99.1¢ | $40 | — |
| 0x9e79…c99a | No | 39 | 99.2¢ | $39 | — |
| healggy0xe089…bedd | Yes | 5,979 | 1.6¢ | $39 | — |
| vA71A20x4bc4…0e28 | No | 35 | 99.2¢ | $35 | — |
| petehegseth0xda76…0aa2 | Yes | 4,929 | 0.6¢ | $32 | — |
| spongebob00xa8cc…314d | Yes | 4,894 | 2.1¢ | $32 | — |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | 4,592 | 1.2¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 33,698 bets |
| tihonkomarov0x2cd7…2f4b | No | 29 | 99.0¢ | $29 | New71 settled bets |
| maksimmaslov0x4baa…651b | No | 28 | 98.8¢ | $28 | — |
| paprikc0x909b…4e60 | Yes | 4,261 | 1.5¢ | $28 | — |
| pantomime0xd039…2532 | Yes | 4,161 | 0.2¢ | $27 | Proven+$2.11 per $100 · 3,792 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 4,100 | 0.9¢ | $27 | Positive+$12.24 per $100 · 3,937 bets |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 4,062 | 0.9¢ | $26 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| svorehov0xb519…43b2 | No | 26 | 99.1¢ | $26 | — |
| bigboystan0x4ddf…80af | Yes | 3,634 | 0.9¢ | $24 | — |
| alivedeer0xe0c5…913c | Yes | 3,576 | 1.5¢ | $23 | Losing−$12.71 per $100 · 427 bets |
| levibutler0x4af6…66c9 | No | 23 | 98.8¢ | $23 | New74 settled bets |
| 6879610xf8fb…6e57 | No | 23 | 99.2¢ | $23 | — |
| 87q35hg42875gh429017580xed46…cc5a | Yes | 3,533 | 1.2¢ | $23 | — |
| Johnsaltenberg0xa284…3ea4 | No | 22 | 97.6¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x87ff…e6e8 | Yes | 3,060 | 1.3¢ | $20 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,037 | 3.1¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,899+ bets · updating |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $16 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| 0x007e…3817 | Yes | 2,400 | 0.8¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x92bd…f597 | Yes | 2,238 | 1.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Ugcdr56y6t0x4815…ddec | Yes | 2,158 | 1.0¢ | $14 | — |
| DualDelta0x1543…baaf | Yes | 2,141 | 15.0¢ | $14 | Proven+$9.93 per $100 · 326 bets |
| 0xc14e…3397 | Yes | 2,038 | 1.1¢ | $13 | — |
| cym19690x68a7…f49a | Yes | 1,930 | 0.9¢ | $13 | New14 settled bets |
| ryzt0x75bb…0ac5 | Yes | 1,905 | 2.0¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 450 bets |
| maybebrian0x580a…a236 | Yes | 1,894 | 1.1¢ | $12 | Proven+$18.08 per $100 · 117 bets |
| drip00x7479…fbec | Yes | 1,706 | 0.9¢ | $11 | Proven+$8.50 per $100 · 371 bets |
| Jasmin4220xecf2…b1f9 | No | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | — |
| MiVaTo0xcc9a…40a6 | No | 10 | 99.1¢ | $10 | — |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 10 | 97.6¢ | $10 | — |
| DouglasWest3580xfa07…dd2a | No | 10 | 99.5¢ | $10 | — |
| ScienceDog0xc369…4e87 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.8¢ | $10 | — |
| JoyceHorton4600xb0bd…0e45 | No | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | — |
| bumaibao0x9de3…a794 | Yes | 1,488 | 3.5¢ | $10 | — |
| iterintellectus0x2e55…07ac | Yes | 1,479 | 14.0¢ | $10 | — |
| tigertest10x73bd…ac54 | Yes | 1,448 | 13.2¢ | $9 | New21 settled bets |
| KateSalazar930x178f…fa8a | No | 9 | 99.1¢ | $9 | — |
| DonnaMann8420x1738…8bc0 | No | 9 | 99.1¢ | $9 | — |
| c4lle0x991e…03a4 | Yes | 1,403 | 0.5¢ | $9 | — |
| KellyElliott750x1052…0969 | No | 9 | 99.1¢ | $9 | — |
| Geniosa0x1128…d57e | Yes | 1,387 | 0.7¢ | $9 | — |
| JasperWoods700xadf1…fd23 | No | 9 | 99.1¢ | $9 | — |
| Feargroun0xad62…acb4 | No | 9 | 99.4¢ | $9 | — |
| coolxeo0x87a6…7e29 | Yes | 1,333 | 0.3¢ | $9 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 9 | 99.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| hassypy0x9998…dbfe | No | 8 | 99.1¢ | $8 | — |
| WolfOrdele0xcaa1…e3b6 | No | 8 | 99.1¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 1,215 | 0.9¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| Diplopia20x272c…7f07 | Yes | 1,200 | 1.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 811 bets |
| Alexoxr0xb7cc…cec1 | No | 8 | 99.0¢ | $8 | — |
| knrad0x4d01…1645 | Yes | 1,158 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Positive+$2.87 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| Lvlapi0x7cba…7b60 | No | 8 | 99.1¢ | $8 | — |
| Donnisoso0xfd27…157e | No | 7 | 99.2¢ | $7 | — |
| 3290xb0c7…0389 | Yes | 1,115 | 1.3¢ | $7 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,110 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Shawdene0xaa41…98f7 | No | 7 | 99.3¢ | $7 | — |
| Leryn4ik0xe6e0…8ba3 | No | 7 | 99.3¢ | $7 | — |
| Nathaniel-ka0x6f5b…ba86 | Yes | 1,031 | 1.5¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 7 | 97.7¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 1,029 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Losing−$8.21 per $100 · 84,469+ bets · updating |
| LariXen0x3cee…bd00 | Yes | 1,000 | 5.5¢ | $6 | Proven+$14.88 per $100 · 248 bets |
| fjlivy0x4620…2916 | Yes | 984 | 1.6¢ | $6 | — |
| DingDongChicken0xc771…6f90 | Yes | 943 | 1.4¢ | $6 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 940 | 18.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,975 bets |
| Judy43250x0309…ca26 | No | 6 | 99.1¢ | $6 | — |
| HelenBanks5490xca0f…b649 | No | 6 | 99.4¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x789e…d11e | No | 6 | 99.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x9430…38a0 | Yes | 909 | 1.1¢ | $6 | — |
| Dorothye0xaf83…caf7 | No | 6 | 99.3¢ | $6 | — |
| Selfmadebongos0x70f7…13de | Yes | 906 | 1.1¢ | $6 | — |
| AlwaysTimed0x13c2…b7c8 | Yes | 900 | 10.4¢ | $6 | New39 settled bets |
| Palpebral0xa62e…fce0 | No | 6 | 99.3¢ | $6 | — |
| DialecticalSynergy0xed86…d42c | Yes | 885 | 1.2¢ | $6 | — |
| DeniseKeith4220x1789…558c | No | 6 | 99.0¢ | $6 | — |
| DouglasMiller4990xd8e2…6ecd | No | 6 | 99.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ScarlettKelley2150x1883…9228 | No | 6 | 99.5¢ | $5 | — |
| Orekes0x4510…e1e4 | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 246 bets |
| Logoo0xadaa…dc95 | No | 5 | 99.2¢ | $5 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.