Market · 6 of 20 outcomes
Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 360 | 2.9¢ | $20 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 14 | 71.5¢ | $13 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 252,392+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 232 | 8.8¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 145 | 21.8¢ | $8 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 136 | 12.0¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 108 | 18.0¢ | $6 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 129.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.