Market · 12 of 20 outcomes
Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 587 | 1.3¢ | $15 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 211 | 3.9¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| SingletonFamilyFund0x4c4e…297b | Yes | 164 | 2.5¢ | $4 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 89 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 81 | 1.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x3752…9d56 | Yes | 61 | 5.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 1,133 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 131.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.