Market · 12 of 20 outcomes
Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 587 | 1.3¢ | $11 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 211 | 3.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| SingletonFamilyFund0x4c4e…297b | Yes | 164 | 2.5¢ | $3 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 89 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,772 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 81 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3752…9d56 | Yes | 61 | 5.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 1,133 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 60 | 7.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 41 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 38 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| lightsout9120x7e1d…4d41 | Yes | 35 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 5 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 5 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,366 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 0 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.