Market · 6 of 20 outcomes
Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 360 | 2.9¢ | $19 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 14 | 71.5¢ | $13 | Losing−$7.53 per $100 · 269,589+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 232 | 8.8¢ | $12 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 145 | 21.8¢ | $8 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 136 | 12.0¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,831 bets |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 108 | 18.0¢ | $6 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 88 | 2.9¢ | $5 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| 0x3752…9d56 | Yes | 61 | 13.5¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 1,133 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 57 | 2.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | 40 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | Yes | 31 | 19.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 18.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 30 | 11.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 25 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 21 | 24.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| freedom690x9362…d4a4 | Yes | 20 | 23.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 19 | 10.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| johnthek0xd925…f36f | Yes | 11 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| loxoo2230xf647…2255 | Yes | 10 | 22.7¢ | $1 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 6 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | 5 | 22.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 1 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 1 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 1 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 1 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 0 | 12.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.