Market · 17 of 18 outcomes
Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7623…6cb6 | No | 231 | 81.3¢ | $228 | Proven+$7.98 per $100 · 182 bets |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No | 211 | 94.3¢ | $209 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,841 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 94.7¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| 0x44e3…c39e | No | 37 | 81.6¢ | $37 | — |
| qcp20xd245…2318 | No | 3 | 99.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 130 | 6.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 107 | 19.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 76 | 19.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 51 | 9.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 40 | 12.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 36 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| LeChatonFat0x9629…ee15 | Yes | 20 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 18 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| ramc20050x57a8…d092 | Yes | 12 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 3 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Next Israeli Minister of Interior · 1 event · $2.98K in play
Exactly one of this event's 18 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.