Market · 17 of 18 outcomes
Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
6 more outcomes in this event.
These 18 outcomes add up to 124.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7623…6cb6 | No | 231 | 81.3¢ | $228 | Proven+$7.98 per $100 · 182 bets |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No | 211 | 94.3¢ | $209 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 94.7¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| 0x44e3…c39e | No | 37 | 81.6¢ | $37 | — |
| qcp20xd245…2318 | No | 3 | 99.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 130 | 6.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Next Israeli Minister of Interior · 1 event · $2.52K in play
Exactly one of this event's 18 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.