Market · 16 of 42 outcomes
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 809,074 | 0.1¢ | $1.21K | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,151 | 99.6¢ | $1.15K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| 0x7b6b…7c97 | No | 122 | 99.9¢ | $122 | — |
| skolo0xb0c2…87c3 | Yes | 67,030 | 0.5¢ | $101 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | No | 40 | 99.4¢ | $40 | — |
| chainchainchain0xff59…76c3 | No | 40 | 99.8¢ | $40 | — |
| bndhtd0x90bc…8d9d | No | 39 | 99.9¢ | $39 | — |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 23,101 | 0.3¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| Alyosm0x84e1…61d0 | Yes | 16,667 | 0.3¢ | $25 | — |
| Zypf70x7243…83f0 | Yes | 16,000 | 0.1¢ | $24 | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 2,720 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 14,567 | 0.3¢ | $22 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 14,383 | 0.8¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| pUpU-6520x4c43…8519 | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.6¢ | $18 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 11,000 | 0.6¢ | $16 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,931 bets |
| korETHja0xb5f6…adc3 | Yes | 9,988 | 0.6¢ | $15 | — |
| 7658789hjk0x0142…4f91 | No | 15 | 99.9¢ | $15 | — |
| Sohajan60x2fb9…75ef | No | 14 | 99.8¢ | $14 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 9,075 | 0.1¢ | $14 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,696 | 0.8¢ | $10 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| Jesuschristsuperstar0xfc53…9754 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.1¢ | $9 | — |
| trhsdjfj220x493f…9cf0 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 867jhgh0x71bd…0de3 | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| Betty30930xf87f…25c6 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| Harshav353527290xc7bc…b827 | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| wegsdxsdhtf20xe33f…4be5 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| rrtazxbf7sdh60x48e3…fa90 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| jafdgdsg5dfh0x77bf…f8e0 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 3,924 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| Maitredeceremonie0x74b6…134b | Yes | 3,900 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x9554…286c | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Donintello0x1d38…2078 | Yes | 3,600 | 0.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$2.49 per $100 · 141 bets |
| brukfs560x1dcf…0137 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| sataima130x569d…ede8 | Yes | 3,110 | 0.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 3,000 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,501 | 0.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,620 bets |
| x - 199000x8f51…787b | Yes | 2,500 | 0.7¢ | $4 | — |
| Henry15300x8a0d…36f7 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| BenMartinGva0x93f1…755d | Yes | 2,312 | 0.4¢ | $3 | — |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | Yes | 2,294 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| jowitriviani0x8788…8aa8 | No | 3 | 99.7¢ | $3 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 2,222 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| Dwo0x6320…201e | Yes | 2,008 | 0.5¢ | $3 | — |
| Fripon0x3e6e…9338 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 145 bets |
| enormous0x6bf7…f854 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.5¢ | $3 | New39 settled bets |
| 1centYes0x888e…b1a6 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| pm7777770xaedd…150c | No | 3 | 99.1¢ | $3 | — |
| stupidestmoney0xe5ce…7f3f | No | 3 | 99.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 9999pm99990xf1a2…f1b6 | No | 3 | 99.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 2,351 bets |
| oijfoijwoiroiwoirui20x7399…46d6 | No | 3 | 99.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 3,019 bets |
| Crazybizy0x3541…6468 | Yes | 1,667 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Toto490x5950…60c4 | Yes | 1,667 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x932f…2d1f | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Carol91910x426e…0112 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,442 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| seiko080x70dc…ab55 | Yes | 1,250 | 0.8¢ | $2 | — |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 1,249 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,989 bets |
| nidrac20xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | 1,200 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 2wsx3edc30x69af…0a19 | No | 2 | 98.9¢ | $2 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 1,067 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| 50sad0xb143…3c17 | Yes | 1,019 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Armenia0x1537…c480 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5963…cc20 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| datelen0xabf0…3251 | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| gustavchik888910x379e…8fbe | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Rocamado0x7be5…a53b | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 5,395 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 777 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| rylostolenya0x24a1…ba76 | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8062…e79a | Yes | 706 | 1.4¢ | $1 | — |
| ConstanceOConnor0x9a2f…7ea1 | No | 1 | 98.9¢ | $1 | — |
| SyntaxErro0x398b…adea | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| qjbhpmpj0x492e…2a25 | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 648 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| carlosandrea0x4b10…e48f | Yes | 505 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0a98…e4f5 | Yes | 500 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Kaliman130xa965…d89d | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb86b…1d71 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Baddie0xc1ff…25f1 | Yes | 500 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Utauu0xc78f…b27c | Yes | 500 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x156b…baa0 | Yes | 500 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 473 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 420 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| maybejohndoe0x517a…6491 | Yes | 393 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 148 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9120…2fcc | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6cf5…4a23 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| zena0x71fe…c2da | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | New20 settled bets |
| honduraslover0xaff3…6ecc | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.79 per $100 · 17,393 bets |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaced…7eb5 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| gupqingqitisnle0x9f78…e5df | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.