Marine Le Pen

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 128.8¢ right now.

Decided by

The listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election.§2

Tie-break

Ties for any position are broken by alphabetical order of candidates' listed full names as they appear in this market.§4

Results unknown

If the election result isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§6

Ambiguity

If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based solely on the official results reported by the French Ministry of the Interior.§8

Counted

Candidates are primarily ranked by order of valid votes won, then third-highest finishing position is taken.§3

Source

A consensus of credible reporting; if ambiguous, the official results from the French Ministry of the Interior.§7

Closes

Apr 18, 2027 · 23:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

• Jean-Luc Mélenchon 39.0¢
• Édouard Philippe 24.0¢
• Gabriel Attal 21.5¢
• Raphaël Glucksmann 13.0¢
• Jordan Bardella 4.1¢
• François Ruffin 3.8¢
• Marine Le Pen 3.6¢
• David Lisnard 3.6¢
• Dominique de Villepin 3.4¢
• Bruno Retailleau 3.3¢
• Sarah Knafo 3.1¢
• Éric Zemmour 2.0¢

4 more outcomes in this event.

These 16 outcomes add up to 128.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.