David Lisnard

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 124.6¢ right now.

Decided by

The listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election.§2

Tie for position

Ties for any position are broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed full names as they appear in the market.§4

Third-highest position

The market resolves to the candidate in the third-highest finishing position after applying the ranking.§5

Result not known

If the result is not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".§6

Ambiguity

If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based solely on the official results reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior.§8

Counted

Candidates are primarily ranked by order of valid votes won.§3

Source

The election result as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting; official results from the French Ministry of the Interior if ambiguous.§7

Closes

Apr 18, 2027 · 23:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

• Jean-Luc Mélenchon 38.5¢
• Gabriel Attal 21.5¢
• Édouard Philippe 20.5¢
• Raphaël Glucksmann 14.5¢
• Marine Le Pen 5.5¢
• Jordan Bardella 4.0¢
• Bruno Retailleau 3.3¢
• François Ruffin 3.2¢
• David Lisnard 2.7¢
• Dominique de Villepin 2.3¢
• Sarah Knafo 2.2¢
• Éric Zemmour 2.0¢

4 more outcomes in this event.

These 16 outcomes add up to 124.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.