Market · 6 of 16 outcomes
Will Marine Le Pen win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 09:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 774 | 82.9¢ | $746 | Proven+$6.02 per $100 · 7,391 bets |
| 0xd91e…b3d2 | No | 52 | 97.1¢ | $50 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 450 | 17.0¢ | $16 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,377 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 245 | 7.4¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.49 per $100 · 125,659+ bets · updating |
| SulkingCrypto0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | 80 | 19.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 61 | 7.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 60 | 4.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.40 per $100 · 18,596 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 19.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.32 per $100 · 5,510 bets |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 26 | 16.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.93 per $100 · 5,761 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 22 | 18.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.37 per $100 · 113,391 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 21 | 3.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 9 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 97.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.70 per $100 · 128,785 bets |
| 0xb0e7…39d2 | No | 0 | 91.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 24,701 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.