Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
Brazil Presidential Runoff · Bahia · 1 event · $2.61K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 1,113 | 96.9¢ | $1.08K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| only-no0xd520…3040 | Yes | 500 | 94.2¢ | $484 | — |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | Yes | 287 | 94.1¢ | $278 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 200 | 94.0¢ | $194 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| TheOne7770x2b62…438c | Yes | 157 | 96.5¢ | $152 | — |
| ragalita0xd56c…12b4 | Yes | 100 | 96.2¢ | $97 | — |
| afonsoo0030x0c3d…f757 | Yes | 60 | 82.7¢ | $58 | — |
| 0x4025…3644 | No | 667 | 4.6¢ | $22 | — |
| title10xbe74…a70e | Yes | 21 | 94.0¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 306 | 5.2¢ | $10 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 281 | 5.5¢ | $9 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 181 | 6.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| bountyhunter0010x54d6…ef35 | Yes | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Ekvelazquez0xd223…8c26 | Yes | 5 | 97.9¢ | $5 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 115 | 1.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x3cd3…c5ae | Yes | 3 | 98.6¢ | $3 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 5.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,791 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 66 | 1.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 63 | 2.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 62 | 6.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 60 | 4.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | No | 35 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 13 | 5.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.44 per $100 · 58,479+ bets · updating |
| Ninalinda0xd785…b5b7 | No | 8 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | No | 5 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| StevieKiwi0xe9f3…c4a6 | No | 1 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.