Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Decided by

The market resolves "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season.§1

Announcement qualifies

An official announcement by James that he is retiring qualifies even if the retirement has not yet occurred.§3

Late retirement

Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season do not qualify.§4

Otherwise

Otherwise, the market resolves "No".§2

Counted

LeBron James retiring from the NBA, or an official announcement of his retirement taking effect before the 2026-2027 season.§3

Source

Official statements from LeBron James; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.§5

Closes

Oct 22, 2026 · 03:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.