Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hornetsfan0x713d…53a9 | No | 21,849 | 91.4¢ | $21.8K | — |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 19,775 | 99.6¢ | $19.7K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,713 bets |
| AmphibiousCaldwellPope0xd529…f0d4 | No | 17,248 | 83.0¢ | $17.2K | Proven+$3.03 per $100 · 1,583 bets |
| cruzNBA0x880b…c98b | No | 6,471 | 96.8¢ | $6.45K | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 1,149 bets |
| End1230x8df7…36c4 | No | 4,986 | 80.3¢ | $4.97K | Losing−$3.41 per $100 · 650 bets |
| ping01250x676e…8aa7 | No | 2,378 | 97.2¢ | $2.37K | — |
| liamweber0x6cfc…a5c2 | No | 1,958 | 98.8¢ | $1.95K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 1,255 bets |
| Momolly0x8355…6ce8 | No | 1,810 | 98.9¢ | $1.81K | — |
| 0xf86c…0f22 | No | 1,250 | 99.4¢ | $1.25K | — |
| Jackkwok0xb91b…8510 | No | 1,225 | 90.0¢ | $1.22K | — |
| 0x2d5b…7744 | No | 1,121 | 89.2¢ | $1.12K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 171 bets |
| VGKAKAXI0x3f18…2080 | No | 760 | 92.1¢ | $758 | — |
| MambaKobe0xe393…f016 | No | 715 | 93.9¢ | $714 | — |
| sleepin0xbe1d…244b | No | 691 | 97.9¢ | $689 | — |
| ChalkGoblin0xffaf…b675 | No | 649 | 90.5¢ | $647 | — |
| 777670x55e1…0a28 | No | 537 | 87.9¢ | $536 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 190 bets |
| PrimePenguin0x933c…a8c6 | No | 441 | 98.1¢ | $440 | — |
| 0x4093…5749 | No | 399 | 98.6¢ | $398 | — |
| tj690x6a68…6679 | No | 300 | 88.3¢ | $299 | Proven+$3.62 per $100 · 1,145 bets |
| swimgod0xd530…c641 | No | 298 | 99.5¢ | $297 | — |
| jakcpual0x71d8…c311 | No | 263 | 99.6¢ | $262 | — |
| worldcupno10xbb33…909f | No | 251 | 99.6¢ | $250 | — |
| jjlin897570xb3b3…c4ef | No | 249 | 99.6¢ | $248 | — |
| sdsfdfdfdfdf0xbefc…169f | No | 236 | 99.6¢ | $235 | — |
| 0x7f15…52f1 | No | 200 | 85.0¢ | $200 | — |
| nikos.paixtis0xf841…b2eb | No | 195 | 98.3¢ | $194 | — |
| decryptedinthegame0x84d2…c597 | No | 150 | 86.1¢ | $150 | — |
| varch010x0362…449e | No | 130 | 83.9¢ | $130 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,124 bets |
| jkkl0x6b1a…7669 | No | 128 | 96.0¢ | $128 | — |
| 0xrc0x4004…c40b | No | 125 | 97.7¢ | $125 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 340 bets |
| jackpull0x1db3…a770 | No | 117 | 98.3¢ | $117 | — |
| webb500080xa245…bf9e | No | 101 | 99.1¢ | $101 | — |
| xczxzz0x5141…fd9e | No | 100 | 99.0¢ | $100 | — |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 100 | 86.4¢ | $100 | New69 settled bets |
| flowergood0x8b9f…a24f | No | 85 | 88.3¢ | $85 | — |
| stanfund0xb1e0…d60c | No | 85 | 85.5¢ | $85 | — |
| kchang1200x73d7…222a | No | 63 | 80.5¢ | $62 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 22,630 | 11.5¢ | $57 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| 0xcfd6…d50d | No | 56 | 89.8¢ | $56 | — |
| RickWu0x0ee9…f7ac | No | 54 | 89.1¢ | $54 | — |
| lenny48780x753c…e3ad | No | 54 | 92.9¢ | $54 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 175 bets |
| asiangirladaz0x7aa4…1ffe | No | 52 | 90.1¢ | $51 | — |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 19,333 | 7.2¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| NickChan880xa08f…207f | No | 46 | 75.9¢ | $46 | — |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 41 | 82.0¢ | $41 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| IMMAJET0xdf5a…20f9 | No | 34 | 97.7¢ | $34 | — |
| l4920x7efb…68a1 | No | 31 | 86.4¢ | $31 | — |
| 0x9ab9…c35a | No | 30 | 87.3¢ | $30 | — |
| omegakc0xb4c1…bec3 | No | 30 | 85.7¢ | $30 | — |
| nzz220x6c19…95a6 | No | 25 | 81.5¢ | $24 | — |
| JollyJack0x0513…0fde | No | 24 | 90.0¢ | $24 | — |
| gummy-usb0xdf81…697d | Yes | 7,460 | 7.8¢ | $19 | — |
| MeiZzzi0x02f0…1a03 | Yes | 5,719 | 2.8¢ | $14 | Losing−$13.53 per $100 · 265 bets |
| YellowSnake0x2c6f…deee | Yes | 3,560 | 20.4¢ | $9 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 240 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 3,354 | 0.6¢ | $8 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| WAVE0x8ed4…366a | Yes | 2,554 | 15.8¢ | $6 | — |
| 6F456F7474666A74790xed71…d7ce | Yes | 1,788 | 33.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | 1,571 | 31.1¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
| 0x76c3…5e25 | Yes | 1,441 | 0.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x4ca9…7aa1 | Yes | 1,390 | 1.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$44.87 per $100 · 160 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 1,226 | 14.3¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| 0x13fd…f3dc | Yes | 1,211 | 24.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x7d66…ba3e | Yes | 1,064 | 2.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x4ac8…8fc4 | Yes | 1,062 | 9.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Pancake.0xbd17…fd7f | Yes | 1,043 | 22.2¢ | $3 | — |
| crossx0x976e…ecf3 | Yes | 1,010 | 19.9¢ | $3 | — |
| himmy55550x32d8…6b46 | Yes | 863 | 29.0¢ | $2 | — |
| SweetChariot0x562b…dc09 | Yes | 663 | 25.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 5,021 bets |
| 0x2955…0738 | Yes | 600 | 8.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.33 per $100 · 265 bets |
| iiiiizzzzz0x926f…f72e | Yes | 592 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| gel10x1ebf…3b0f | Yes | 455 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
| MarioLu0x7dc4…a38d | Yes | 400 | 22.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf7f1…5ea3 | Yes | 374 | 2.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd71c…de8d | Yes | 367 | 11.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x19b8…0c6c | Yes | 357 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$67.93 per $100 · 104 bets |
| blablabel0xd34d…b5c3 | Yes | 341 | 3.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PCMTest0x51b1…7865 | Yes | 324 | 16.4¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 303 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| SwiftShores0x3e3a…49cf | Yes | 294 | 34.0¢ | $1 | New59 settled bets |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 275 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| everymarket0xa1a0…2746 | Yes | 258 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$16.23 per $100 · 1,232 bets |
| test.saveliyb.test0x6358…cc23 | Yes | 256 | 19.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb4f0…3196 | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| laiii0x0e04…902d | Yes | 214 | 14.4¢ | $1 | — |
| shiifoo0x30f6…004f | Yes | 198 | 7.4¢ | $0 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 167 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.08 per $100 · 225,283+ bets · updating |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 163 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xac8f…3bc4 | Yes | 150 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc781…dd93 | Yes | 139 | 14.8¢ | $0 | — |
| cryptoblazen0xf939…44d2 | Yes | 133 | 15.4¢ | $0 | — |
| JamesClaw0xcf7e…c57c | Yes | 110 | 18.2¢ | $0 | — |
| solwizzo-onX0xff16…7511 | Yes | 108 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.33 per $100 · 817 bets |
| spggggg0x19ad…34de | Yes | 107 | 30.2¢ | $0 | — |
| okakokak0x79c1…497d | Yes | 106 | 29.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf07e…6fbf | Yes | 105 | 19.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x75d1…7a5f | Yes | 104 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$6.26 per $100 · 8,077 bets |
| AquaJoko0x84c2…3a00 | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | Yes | 79 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 6,270 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.