Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hornetsfan0x713d…53a9 | No | 21,849 | 91.4¢ | $21.8K | — |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 19,775 | 99.6¢ | $19.7K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,713 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AmphibiousCaldwellPope0xd529…f0d4 |
| No |
| 17,248 |
| 83.0¢ |
| $17.2K |
| Proven+$3.03 per $100 · 1,583 bets |
| cruzNBA0x880b…c98b | No | 6,471 | 96.8¢ | $6.45K | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 1,149 bets |
| End1230x8df7…36c4 | No | 4,986 | 80.3¢ | $4.97K | Losing−$3.41 per $100 · 650 bets |
| ping01250x676e…8aa7 | No | 2,378 | 97.2¢ | $2.37K | — |