Jérôme Guedj

Decided by

The market resolves "Yes" if the listed individual is on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election.§3

No published list

If no candidate list is published before the election, the market resolves based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot.§5

Election not held

If no list is published and the election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves "No".§6

Not on list

Otherwise, the market resolves "No".§4

Counted

Inclusion on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election.§3

Source

The official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.§7

Closes

Apr 18, 2027 · 23:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

• Jean-Luc Mélenchon 93.9¢
• Marine Le Pen 92.0¢
• Édouard Philippe 89.5¢
• Nathalie Arthaud 86.5¢
• Raphaël Glucksmann 82.0¢
• Fabien Roussel 80.0¢
• Éric Zemmour 78.5¢
• David Lisnard 76.0¢
• Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 65.5¢
• Bruno Retailleau 58.5¢
• Marine Tondelier 31.0¢
• Dominique de Villepin 30.5¢

34 more outcomes in this event.