Market · 4 of 46 outcomes
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 838 | 74.9¢ | $729 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| Yolotrading0x9f42…e44e | Yes | 673 | 86.7¢ | $586 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 |
| Yes |
| 185 |
| 81.0¢ |
| $161 |
| Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 151 | 89.8¢ | $132 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| NoDoubtD0x5170…6c45 | Yes | 146 | 72.9¢ | $127 | — |
| lutinfacetieux0x4b5c…6276 | No | 884 | 22.9¢ | $115 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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34 more outcomes in this event.