Market · 5 of 46 outcomes
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 838 | 74.9¢ | $729 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| Yolotrading0x9f42…e44e | Yes | 673 | 86.7¢ | $586 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 |
| Yes |
| 185 |
| 81.0¢ |
| $161 |
| Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 151 | 89.8¢ | $132 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| NoDoubtD0x5170…6c45 | Yes | 146 | 72.9¢ | $127 | — |
| lutinfacetieux0x4b5c…6276 | No | 884 | 22.9¢ | $115 | — |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | Yes | 100 | 89.1¢ | $87 | New69 settled bets |
| TastyCrousty0x38eb…b6d7 | Yes | 72 | 70.0¢ | $63 | — |
| Luche38bnb0x2252…17c3 | No | 341 | 9.7¢ | $44 | New2 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 44 | 46.0¢ | $38 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 39 | 90.0¢ | $34 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 223 | 11.0¢ | $29 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 33 | 83.6¢ | $29 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | No | 216 | 10.8¢ | $28 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 154 | 13.3¢ | $20 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 20 | 86.0¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | No | 100 | 10.0¢ | $13 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| 0x461a…1a5a | Yes | 14 | 73.8¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x9037…8b08 | No | 77 | 13.5¢ | $10 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 50 | 15.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| ngok9960xe1a9…339e | No | 38 | 11.4¢ | $5 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 32 | 16.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0x6305…c3ca | No | 31 | 16.5¢ | $4 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 30 | 10.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | No | 30 | 7.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x2712…eb71 | No | 29 | 18.0¢ | $4 | — |
| buur0x94e4…6be5 | No | 20 | 35.0¢ | $3 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 17 | 15.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 14 | 15.0¢ | $2 | — |
| jenetmarre0x785a…d8a4 | No | 13 | 14.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | Yes | 2 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | No | 9 | 16.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6045…3530 | No | 8 | 13.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x38d2…4d20 | Yes | 1 | 87.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 69dsfs0x624b…56f8 | No | 2 | 13.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2b73…174e | No | 1 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | 0 | 73.8¢ | $0 | — |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 0 | 82.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 42ds0xeda7…7b78 | No | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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