Market · 42 of 46 outcomes
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 06:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 902 | 90.6¢ | $866 | New69 settled bets |
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | No | 175 | 95.5¢ | $168 | Positive+$1.51 per $100 · 725 bets |
| LaBascule0x949b…b285 | No | 129 | 85.9¢ | $124 | — |
| 0x5c66…31e3 | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $96 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 621 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 60 | 96.4¢ | $58 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | No | 35 | 91.3¢ | $34 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 636 | 4.9¢ | $25 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| Nenels0x5d10…b5e7 | No | 11 | 89.4¢ | $11 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 157 | 6.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 131,953 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 139 | 7.9¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 125,561+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 103 | 10.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 87 | 5.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 4 | 91.3¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 67 | 16.6¢ | $3 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 50 | 4.6¢ | $2 | — |
| nidrac20xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | 50 | 9.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x2ccf…2317 | Yes | 46 | 21.7¢ | $2 | — |
| YesManLucky380x91e2…3c51 | No | 1 | 92.3¢ | $1 | — |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd0x5446…18f6 | Yes | 26 | 25.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$10.89 per $100 · 904 bets |
| 0x461a…1a5a | Yes | 23 | 8.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 1 | 92.8¢ | $1 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 19 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | Yes | 15 | 10.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd4aa…d40c | No | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.73 per $100 · 16,779 bets |
| nahte100xab57…e05f | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 50sad0xb143…3c17 | Yes | 0 | 15.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 42ds0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | 0 | 16.4¢ | $0 | — |
| perepuk0x51f2…38ef | Yes | 0 | 11.7¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiONE0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | 0 | 4.6¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.