Market · 17 of 42 outcomes
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.11M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,122 | 99.4¢ | $1.12K | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| mysix0x84df…e33b | Yes | 741,637 | 0.5¢ | $1.11K | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 440 | 99.9¢ | $439 | Break-even+$0.24 per $100 · 28,703 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 179,883 | 0.7¢ | $270 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| iuhb1560xc425…6a18 | No | 60 | 99.2¢ | $60 | — |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | No | 59 | 96.5¢ | $59 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| skolo0xb0c2…87c3 | Yes | 27,702 | 1.5¢ | $42 | — |
| qvdsgre0x4bf8…2f4d | No | 38 | 99.9¢ | $38 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 18,613 | 0.8¢ | $28 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| mignonpignon0x6fb2…7adf | Yes | 14,999 | 0.7¢ | $22 | Losing−$1.07 per $100 · 478 bets |
| 0x998b…db96 | Yes | 13,758 | 0.1¢ | $21 | — |
| hidewange0x6f67…0f0c | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 20 | 99.2¢ | $20 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,976 bets |
| Debsideb0x649e…018e | Yes | 11,111 | 0.9¢ | $17 | New36 settled bets |
| yoyoya120xaf1f…559e | No | 14 | 99.8¢ | $14 | — |
| legangduchat0x8d32…f958 | Yes | 8,819 | 1.7¢ | $13 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 7,936 | 0.8¢ | $12 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| Negativ0x56e1…04fc | No | 11 | 97.7¢ | $11 | New35 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 7,301 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| piloho0x2a7b…e4af | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| NaomiWalker230xd2b1…36dd | No | 9 | 99.7¢ | $9 | — |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 5,554 | 0.3¢ | $8 | — |
| jasonwon0xb681…d496 | No | 8 | 99.8¢ | $8 | — |
| SERGFFE0xb0ba…a3fd | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 4,770 | 0.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| fcukcapital0xb9e1…e424 | No | 7 | 99.5¢ | $7 | — |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | 4,000 | 0.6¢ | $6 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 3,844 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 6,756 bets |
| raymondpoincare0x4420…ea24 | Yes | 3,700 | 0.4¢ | $6 | Positive+$11.70 per $100 · 177 bets |
| Janice28100xf0d1…a7ab | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x1c0e…76bc | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 3,000 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| qbtena0xf1ae…af44 | No | 4 | 96.8¢ | $4 | — |
| Arimondz0x5dcc…619c | Yes | 2,687 | 0.8¢ | $4 | New30 settled bets |
| GonzalezDonal0xc7f5…61a6 | No | 3 | 96.9¢ | $3 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,102 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,249 bets |
| erickkna0x65a9…f593 | No | 3 | 98.5¢ | $3 | — |
| YOLO-FOMO0x8ca1…f2eb | Yes | 2,054 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 2,000 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$9.92 per $100 · 2,566 bets |
| OriTheSon0x060a…3e71 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 2,081 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 1,344 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,189 bets |
| repsol0x71af…c057 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Dealvix0x1f94…2db9 | No | 2 | 96.5¢ | $2 | — |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 1,249 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,990 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,043 | 0.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| ODYSSEUS-0xcd46…5360 | Yes | 1,014 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| atleverydy0x80c5…2c4b | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$11.44 per $100 · 9,418 bets |
| Stas770x110e…03c5 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$16.63 per $100 · 297 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$14.37 per $100 · 22,814 bets |
| obsiDIAniGnItecOBaLt0xf916…d8d6 | No | 1 | 98.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Jesuschristsuperstar0xfc53…9754 | Yes | 750 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 742 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| bananavomBa7170x7e03…770f | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Baddie0xc1ff…25f1 | Yes | 700 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| ntcrpt0x82f7…da44 | No | 1 | 98.6¢ | $1 | — |
| barbadou0x9ac8…6e66 | Yes | 600 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| nnmm0x0397…0707 | No | 1 | 96.5¢ | $1 | — |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 574 | 0.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.83 per $100 · 1,526 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 524 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| 0x156b…baa0 | Yes | 500 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb86b…1d71 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| ViennaBlues0x5c86…e223 | Yes | 500 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 472 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 6,087 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 420 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 402 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| 0x253b…98d8 | Yes | 383 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Marclacasse10xd098…3307 | Yes | 349 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 50sad0xb143…3c17 | Yes | 342 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| mipoma0xb7f4…aa26 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| gajistan0x90a6…f8a9 | Yes | 320 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 315 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| El-Coronel0x8f9d…1cb9 | Yes | 301 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Mike1234550xeee9…f66f | Yes | 291 | 1.7¢ | $0 | — |
| alwayslatetothepartyboy0xc605…ad27 | Yes | 286 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| kexfdjpb0xb797…282c | No | 0 | 96.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe36a…671d | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| PX53000xd6ee…37a2 | No | 0 | 95.8¢ | $0 | — |
| AIDROPP0x6f2a…9551 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd786…d09e | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc532…b0fe | No | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| waterfall00x67bc…d54e | No | 0 | 98.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 2,474 bets |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaced…7eb5 | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.